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I would consider the future newbie threat from foreign countries to be substantial. Especially to the American webmaster at any level due to potential limitations of internet freedom's effecting us and not them in the areas of 2257, obscenity and potentially .xxx and Acacia.
I wouldnt consider the international webmaster threat to be substantial at all in fact, id say it would remain the same as it is now, non-existent. How many large programs can you name that are operated outside the US? 1? 2?