I can only speak from our personal experience - As content providers, I see that AEBN numbers continue to be strong while our members' numbers climb as our store sales also remain strong although, wholesale is down a little (but that will change) - we're still too new at this game to have any knowledge as to long term forcasts (5 years as porn producers isn't enough time for me to determine where WE are heading...)

The feedback we have been receiving is that our members prefer to subscribe to OUR pay site and get all of our premium content at great screen ratios (we offer a choice of sizes) and get hi-rez photos too - tons of our well produced content to view rather than getting our content from one of our feeds and viewing the same stuff by the minute at 1/2 the rez - also, we have a following and our members enjoy downloading and keeping our stuff - interesting that offering our content in this format hasn't necessarily affected our store sales...

Most important, our site features our content encoded from the "masters" rather than the feeds which put up our content reproduced from DVDs which are only a fraction of the quality before they get encoded and shrunk even more... we KNOW that people want higher quality to view on their new and very expensive home entertainment systems (thanks apple)

Most of the consumers we talk to (retail, renters, surfers, etc.) don't really seem to understand all the ways they can watch our stuff - all they want is more....!