I see the following:

VOD continuing to increase marketshare, beginning to severely impact sales at some membership-based sites. Studios/content producers, not realizing the VOD model as run by the major players is not sustainable for content producers, continue to make the VOD companies richer while devaluing their own product.

DVD sales for major studios decreasing; continued difficulty with new producers in getting product distributed or to market; consolidation in the marketplace with a few major players buying up a ton of DVD studios, but an overall stability in total number of DVD units sold

smaller membership-based websites being acquired (either purchase or partnership) by larger affiliate programs.

Continued consolidation in the industry, and continued growth for larger players with high quality product.

Some smaller,shadier players being squeezed out by increased inspections, increased regulatory requirements, and karma coming back at them

Less industry credibility placed on a few high-power players and more industrywide cooperation and attention to shady practices.