Hard to say...

But I'd agree that within the next 12 months we'll see more ppl leave the adult biz given some of the changes, some of them will perhaps go over to mainstream...

Every year that I've been on the net though I've seen people flood online to make their fortunes, (adult & mainstream); this will continue and the numbers of people who fail because they can't/won't grasp the basics will remain about the same.

I see even more straight companies trying to get a piece of the "gay market" or "niche" as they tend to call it. And most of them will still not get it...